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Hillary, Rudy sinking in South Carolina poll

Thu Nov 29, 2007 at 09:25:14 PM PDT

   Clemson University released a poll yesterday that showed South Carolina voters souring on both Hillary Clinton and Rudy Giuliani, with support dropping 7 points for Hillary and 9 points for Rudy since the previous Clemson poll in August.
   Hillary and Barack Obama are in a statistical dead-heat with the support of 19 percent for Hillary and 17 percent for Obama, but a full 49 percent of Democratic voters say they are still undecided. Margin of error on the poll is 4.5 percent.
   On the Republican side, Rudy and Fred Thompson led the August poll. Rudy's tanking with only 9 percent support in November. Freddy has 15 percent. Romney now leads with 17 percent and Huckabee is surging, going from 6 percent support in August to 13 percent in November. Among Republican voters, 28 percent are undecided (8 percent more undecided than in August.)

  I've been saying all along that I just couldn't see South Carolina voters being that enthused about Hillary. (I am not a Hillary hater, don't think she deserves a fraction of the crap she's gotten for decades, but I just can't warm up to her as a candidate, either.) I also just couldn't see her getting South Carolina voters excited. Bill seems so much more warm and friendly and Southern than Hillary, and those qualities play well in the South. (I know, not a good reason to vote for someone for President, but still...)
   Anyway, I think the poll shows I'm right. It basically says that people are paying more attention now than they did in August, going less on name recognition and more on information they've picked up, and that support for everyone is still soft. Fully half of Democrats are still undecided and Republicans are growing more undecided as time goes by and they pay more attention to the election.
  Clemson polled 900 voters, half of whom ID'd themselves as Republicans and half as Democrats, all of whom voted in at least one of the last four elections. You can see the entire poll at: www.clemson.edu
   Here's the current Democratic list, with numbers from August, then November, then percentage change:
Hillary Clinton  26 percent  19 percent -7 percent  
Barack Obama     16 percent  17 percent  +1 percent
John Edwards     10 percent  12 percent  +2 percent
Joe Biden         3 percent  2 percent  -1 percent
Bill Richardson   2 percent  1 percent  -1 percent
Undecided                    49 percent  

For the Republicans:
Fred Thompson  19 percent  15 percent   -4 percent
Rudy Giuliani  18 percent  9 percent     -9 percent
John McCain    15 percent  11 percent    -4 percent
Mitt Romney    11 percent  17 percent    +6 percent
Mike Huckabee  6 percent  13 percent    +7 percent
Ron Paul       1 percent  6 percent     +5 percent
Undecided                 28 percent

A whopping 65 percent of Republicans said they weren't sure who'd they support in the actual primary in January, while 51 percent of Democrats have not made up their minds.
 

Tags: Hillary Clinton, Rudy Giuliani, Fred Thompson, Mike Huckabee, Barack Obama, South Carolina Presidential Primary, Mitt Romney, Clemson University (all tags) :: Previous Tag Versions

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